CASE STUDY:

Virtual Power Plant

CASE STUDY:

Virtual Power Plant

Case Studies

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Energy Management

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Virtual Power Plant

Virtual Power Plant

Virtual Power Plant

Data-Led Energy Forecasting for a Low-Carbon Council

Data-Led Energy Forecasting for a Low-Carbon Council

Data-Led Energy Forecasting for a Low-Carbon Council

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Derry City & Strabane District Council engaged izon to support its long-term commitment to reducing carbon emissions and establishing a practical model for renewable energy adoption ahead of local grid modernisation.

Derry City & Strabane District Council engaged izon to support its long-term commitment to reducing carbon emissions and establishing a practical model for renewable energy adoption ahead of local grid modernisation.

We developed advanced forecasting models to accurately predict energy cost, demand, generation, and carbon and renewable fuel mix across the council estate. This required detailed modelling of the council’s existing infrastructure, generation assets, and the inherent variability of renewable sources. The objective was not only to understand current capability, but to inform future infrastructure investment and support strategic planning around emerging demands such as EV charging. To achieve this, we built machine learning and AI models capable of predicting next-day costs and weather-driven variables. Data availability presented significant challenges, including reporting delays and inconsistencies in historical datasets. These issues were further compounded by Covid-19, where reduced building usage distorted consumption patterns. We addressed this through advanced data correction techniques, careful tuning of model hyperparameters, and iterative testing over a three-month period to achieve the highest possible predictive accuracy. The model integrates live condition data from OikoLab for weather metrics, SEMO for electricity pricing and volumes, and EirGrid for fuel mix modelling. Solar generation was forecast using a Random Forest model trained on council-specific generation data. Biogas, wind turbines, and solar assets were all factored into a unified view across 22 council buildings.

We built a continuously running forecasting model that gives the council an end-to-end view of energy demand, generation, and fuel mix. By combining live market data, weather metrics, and machine learning, the model informs long-term investment decisions and measurable reductions in carbon output.

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Unit 3, The Legacy Building,

Queens Road, Belfast, BT3 9DT.

Copyright 2025. All rights reserved

Unit 3, The Legacy Building,

Queens Road, Belfast, BT3 9DT.

Copyright 2025. All rights reserved

CASE STUDY:

Virtual Power Plant

CASE STUDY:

Virtual Power Plant

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